National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
4 - 0
Warrington Town

Carbon (36'), Clarke (42' og.), Ashby (57'), Coyle (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Oxford City and Warrington Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions
Last Game: South Shields 1-2 Oxford City
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League North

Warrington Town

All competitions
Last Game: Warrington Town 0-1 Radcliffe
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawWarrington Town
35.81% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.37% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.31% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)44.9% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.74% (0.046999999999997 0.05)67.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (0.022999999999996 0.02)24.57% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94% (0.028999999999996 0.03)59.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Warrington Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)22.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.043000000000006 0.04)56.34% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 35.81%
    Warrington Town 39.37%
    Draw 24.81%
Oxford CityDrawWarrington Town
2-1 @ 8.15%
1-0 @ 7.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.57%
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 35.81%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.81%
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 39.37%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Warrington Town
0-2
Oxford City

Southern (70')
Scott (6'), McEachran (15')
Fleet (36'), Andrews (81')