Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 6, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
1 - 0
America

Rondon (20', 20')
Aceves (65'), Aceves (65'), Pedraza (66'), Pedraza (66'), Eduardo (82'), Eduardo (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)

(90+4'), (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Club America.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toluca 3-2 Pachuca
Saturday, March 29 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-0 Cruz Azul
Wednesday, April 2 at 2.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Club America has a probability of 34.09% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Club America win is 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.8%).

Result
PachucaDrawClub America
40.83% (-0.246 -0.25)25.08% (-0.231 -0.23)34.09% (0.47900000000001 0.48)
Both teams to score 57.05% (0.921 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.6% (1.14 1.14)46.4% (-1.139 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.32% (1.063 1.06)68.68% (-1.063 -1.06)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.37700000000001 0.38)22.62% (-0.376 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75% (0.559 0.56)56.25% (-0.558 -0.56)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (0.83499999999999 0.83)26.27% (-0.834 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (1.103 1.1)61.39% (-1.102 -1.1)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 40.83%
    Club America 34.09%
    Draw 25.08%
PachucaDrawClub America
1-0 @ 8.83% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.169 -0.17)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.83%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.291 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.95% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.89% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.52% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 34.09%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2024 1am
Gameweek 16
America
2-1
Pachuca
Zendejas (42'), Cervantes (46')
Aguirre (21')
Gonzalez (16')
Deossa (9'), Sanchez (23'), Barreto (45+4')
May 12, 2024 1am
America
1-1
Pachuca
Quinones (90+5')
Valdes (25'), dos Santos (30'), Hernandez (90+10'), Quinones (90+6')
Idrissi (32')
Micolta (40'), Sanchez (90+11'), Cabral (90+10')
May 9, 2024 4.16am
May 1, 2024 2.15am
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Pachuca
2-1
America
Rodriguez (13'), Deossa (14')
Cabral (49+3'), Berlanga (63'), Micolta (77'), Pedraza (84'), Gonzalez (86+2')
Martin (17')
dos Santos (50'), Juarez (58'), Lichnovsky (71')
Reyes (84')
Apr 24, 2024 3.15am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
America
1-1
Pachuca
Zendejas (12')
Zendejas (39'), Jardine (40'), Lichnovsky (90+3')
Micolta (40')
Rodriguez (48'), Sanchez (58'), Berlanga (62')