Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.