Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 17, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
4 - 1
Tijuana

Homenchenko (26', 26'), Kennedy (33', 33'), Rondon (55', 55'), Alexander Sigala Garcia (90+5', 90+5')
Kennedy (45+3'), Kennedy (45+3'), Idrissi (62'), Idrissi (62'), Dominguez (85'), Dominguez (85')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Zuniga (89', 89')
Porozo (36'), Porozo (36'), Mejia (77'), Mejia (77')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Club Tijuana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, March 9 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 3-4 Atlas
Monday, March 10 at 3am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 63.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawClub Tijuana
63.78% (0.555 0.56)20.63% (-0.137 -0.14)15.59% (-0.419 -0.42)
Both teams to score 50.8% (-0.506 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (-0.184 -0.18)44.62% (0.184 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (-0.179 -0.18)66.99% (0.179 0.18)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.69% (0.107 0.11)13.3% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.86% (0.215 0.22)40.14% (-0.217 -0.22)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.6% (-0.658 -0.66)41.4% (0.657 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.09% (-0.585 -0.59)77.91% (0.584 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 63.77%
    Club Tijuana 15.59%
    Draw 20.63%
PachucaDrawClub Tijuana
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.53% (0.149 0.15)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.8% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.35% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.53% (0.043 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 63.77%
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.51% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.63%
0-1 @ 4.86% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.14% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 15.59%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 4am
Gameweek 11
Tijuana
2-1
Pachuca
Alvarez (67'), Reynoso (90+4')
Castaneda (30'), Hernandez (43'), Diaz (71'), Monarrez Ochoa (90+7')
Gomez (80' og.)
Deossa (30'), Gonzalez (31'), Mena (79'), Andres Gil Mosquera (83')
Feb 4, 2024 1.10am
Gameweek 5
Pachuca
3-2
Tijuana
Rodriguez (17'), Idrissi (28'), Rondon (65')
Contreras (30'), Barreto (32'), Idrissi (54'), Lopez (90+1')
Almada (35')
Rivera (33' pen.), Gonzalez (85')
Rodriguez (26'), Rivera (43'), Castaneda (73'), Madrigal (74'), Madrigal (75'), Contreras (90+2'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (90+2')
Nov 11, 2023 3.10am
Gameweek 17
Tijuana
2-3
Pachuca
Madrigal (45+1'), Castaneda (81')
Sanchez (53', 59', 71')
Terans (20'), Ortiz (58'), Sanchez (66'), Idrissi (80'), Pedraza (80'), Rodriguez (83'), Rodriguez (90')
Almada (21')
Feb 27, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Tijuana
2-0
Pachuca
Lopez (26'), Canelo (30')
Sep 12, 2022 2.05am
Gameweek 14
Pachuca
6-1
Tijuana
Sanchez (52')