Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 12, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
3 - 5
Pachuca

Badaloni (12'), Perez (32', 32', 79', 79'), de Buen (53', 53')
Paradela (28'), Paradela (28'), Andrade (36'), Andrade (36'), Palavecino (40'), Palavecino (40')
FT(HT: 3-4)
Rondon (31', 31', 45+3', 45+3', 90+4', 90+4'), Montiel (85', 85'), Gonzalez (88', 88')
Pedraza (5'), Pedraza (5'), Idrissi (48'), Idrissi (48')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Necaxa
Saturday, April 5 at 4am in Liga MX

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: Pachuca 1-0 America
Sunday, April 6 at 12am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawPachuca
41.61% (-0.167 -0.17)24.5% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)33.88% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 59.04% (0.314 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.22% (0.381 0.38)43.77% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.83% (0.373 0.37)66.16% (-0.384 -0.38)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88% (0.082999999999998 0.08)21.12% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04% (0.134 0.13)53.96% (-0.14299999999999 -0.14)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.85% (0.312 0.31)25.14% (-0.323 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.14% (0.436 0.44)59.85% (-0.44600000000001 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 41.61%
    Pachuca 33.88%
    Draw 24.49%
NecaxaDrawPachuca
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.42% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 41.61%
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.31% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.06% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.62% (0.049 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.025 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.88%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 3.06am
Gameweek 15
Pachuca
6-2
Necaxa
Rondon (12', 29', 61'), Idrissi (54'), Lopez (85'), Gonzalez (87')
Idrissi (68')
Cambindo (58', 66')
Monreal (19'), Cambindo (26')
May 6, 2024 3.06am
Pachuca
2-1
Necaxa
Bautista (79'), Rondon (83' pen.)
Pedraza (10'), Deossa (45+2'), Oliveros (83'), Idrissi (84'), Idrissi (87')
Idrissi (86'), Idrissi (87')
Garnica (90+6')
Paradela (26'), Arce (32'), Cambindo (54'), Garnica (82'), Oliveros (84')
Fentanes (3')
Feb 24, 2024 3am
Gameweek 8
Necaxa
1-1
Pachuca
Martinez (41')
Monreal (57'), Jurado (65')
Rondon (90+1' pen.)
Pedraza (36'), Micolta (56'), Rodriguez (65')
Oct 1, 2023 12am
Gameweek 10
Pachuca
1-1
Necaxa
Gonzalez (13')
Castillo (52'), Gonzalez (68'), Di Yorio (78'), Cabral (80')
Castillo (84')
Arce (20')
Batista (27'), Rodriguez (54'), Garnica (61'), Omar Cortes Alvarez (71'), Cortez (75')
Jan 30, 2023 1am
Gameweek 4
Pachuca
2-1
Necaxa