Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 5, 2025 at 4am UK
Estadio Caliente

Tijuana
1 - 2
Necaxa

Zuniga (56' pen., 56' pen.)
Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (32'), Eduardo Fernandez Inzunza (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Perez (52', 52'), Paradela (58', 58')
de Buen (29'), de Buen (29'), Badaloni (88'), Badaloni (88')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Tijuana and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 1-2 Tijuana
Sunday, March 30 at 4.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-0 Queretaro
Saturday, March 29 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 52.01%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.7%) and 1-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%).

Result
Club TijuanaDrawNecaxa
52.01% (-1.52 -1.52)21.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.47% (1.508 1.51)
Both teams to score 65.25% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.32% (1.369 1.37)33.68% (-1.363 -1.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.5% (1.542 1.54)55.5% (-1.536 -1.54)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.73% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)40.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (1.801 1.8)24.77% (-1.795 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (2.448 2.45)59.33% (-2.441 -2.44)
Score Analysis
    Club Tijuana 52.01%
    Necaxa 26.47%
    Draw 21.53%
Club TijuanaDrawNecaxa
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.175 -0.17)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.486 -0.49)
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.482 -0.48)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.328 -0.33)
3-2 @ 4.4% (0.143 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-2 @ 2.22% (0.072 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.084 0.08)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 52.01%
1-1 @ 9.26% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-2 @ 6.53% (0.211 0.21)
0-0 @ 3.29% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.166 0.17)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 6.46% (0.209 0.21)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.103 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.246 0.25)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.243 0.24)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.121 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.135 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.47%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 4am
Gameweek 12
Necaxa
1-2
Tijuana
Palavecino (34' pen.)
Rosero (9'), Fentanes (10'), Arce (50'), Montes (81')
Rivera (28' pen.), Castaneda (43')
Reynoso (19'), Blanco (45+6')
Apr 6, 2024 4.10am
Gameweek 14
Tijuana
2-3
Necaxa
Gonzalez (45+3'), Blanco (74')
Blanco (72'), Diaz (72'), Rivera (78')
Cambindo (38'), Paradela (85' pen., 90+1')
Montes (28'), Cambindo (36'), Rodriguez (62')
Jul 8, 2023 4am
Gameweek 2
Necaxa
1-1
Tijuana
Montes (90+1')
Esquivel (24'), Mendez (42'), Garnica (45+2'), Poggi (55'), Gonzalez (81')
Gonzalez (73')
Madrigal (15'), Vega (45+4'), Barbosa (57')
Feb 4, 2023 1am
Gameweek 5
Necaxa
1-1
Tijuana
Sep 19, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 15
Tijuana
1-1
Necaxa
Lertora (45+5')
Garcia (34')