MX23RW : Wednesday, May 1 10:00:52| >> :60:639:639:
USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Nippert Stadium
Slovenia national football team

USA
0 - 1
Slovenia


White (46')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gradisar (26')
Sturm (45'), Zabukovnik (67'), Zabukovnik (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between USA and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Trin. & Tob. 2-1 USA
Tuesday, November 21 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Slovenia 2-1 Kazakhstan
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: USA 1-1 Slovenia

Neither side have much international experience, but we believe there will be plenty of continuity, seeing as the majority of those chosen feature at club level in their respective countries. While we expect to see a spirited affair between these players looking to make an impression on their respective coaches, we do not believe that either side have a decisive edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 67.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
USADrawSlovenia
67.33% (-0.554 -0.55) 19.9% (0.335 0.34) 12.77% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.85% (-0.411 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.62% (-0.90900000000001 -0.91)47.38% (0.909 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.4% (-0.847 -0.85)69.6% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (-0.432 -0.43)13.11% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25% (-0.89 -0.89)39.75% (0.892 0.89)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.76% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)47.23% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.34% (-0.158 -0.16)82.66% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    USA 67.33%
    Slovenia 12.77%
    Draw 19.9%
USADrawSlovenia
2-0 @ 12.78% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 12.58% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.66% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.4% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.3% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 67.33%
1-1 @ 9.44% (0.148 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 19.9%
0-1 @ 4.64% (0.147 0.15)
1-2 @ 3.54% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.74% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 12.77%

How you voted: USA vs Slovenia

USA
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Slovenia
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Jun 18, 2010 3pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
2-2
USA
Birsa (13'), Ljubijankic (42')
Bradley (82'), Donovan (48')
rhs 2.0
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