Girona are currently one of the best sides in Spain's top flight, and as La Liga's joint-highest scorers, we think that their firepower will help them ease to a comfortable cup victory over lower-league opposition on Wednesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 66.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for San Roque de Lepe had a probability of 13.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.39%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a San Roque de Lepe win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
San Roque de Lepe	Draw	Girona
13.57% ( 0.37)	20.29% ( 0.18)	66.14% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 46.8% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.7% (

0.04)

47.3% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.48% (

0.04)

69.53% (

-0.03)

San Roque de Lepe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.06% (

0.59)

45.94% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.33% (

0.46)

81.67% (

-0.45)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.57% (

-0.14)

13.44% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.6% (

-0.3)

40.41% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

San Roque de Lepe 13.57%

Girona 66.14%

Draw 20.29%

San Roque de Lepe	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.2% Total : 13.57%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.29%	0-2 @ 12.43% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 8.32% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.18% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.67% Total : 66.14%