Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 65.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Spezia |
65.91% ( 0.33) | 20.27% ( -0.09) | 13.82% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 47.55% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.34% ( -0.13) | 46.65% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.08% ( -0.13) | 68.92% ( 0.12) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.69% ( 0.05) | 13.3% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.86% ( 0.12) | 40.14% ( -0.13) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.85% ( -0.45) | 45.15% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.94% ( -0.36) | 81.05% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 65.91% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.76% Total : 20.27% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.27% Total : 13.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |