Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 23, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
4 - 3
Spezia

Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 13.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Spezia
69.14%	17.49%	13.36%

Both teams to score 56.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.14%

34.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.17%

56.83%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.88%

9.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.05%

30.95%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.69%

38.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.93%

75.06%

Score Analysis

Roma 69.14%

Spezia 13.36%

Draw 17.49%

Roma	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.36% 3-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 7.68% 4-0 @ 4.79% 4-1 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.68% 5-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 2.2% 5-2 @ 1.06% 6-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.73% Total : 69.14%	1-1 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.61% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.49%	1-2 @ 3.85% 0-1 @ 3.35% 0-2 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.48% 1-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.36%