Real Madrid

5 - 1

Valencia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.