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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
| 40.58% ( | 28.8% ( | 30.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.23% ( | 61.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.43% ( | 81.56% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( | 29.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.06% ( | 65.94% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( | 36.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( | 73.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 13.14% ( 2-1 @ 8.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 4-0 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.45% Total : 40.58% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.87% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.62% |