DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 14, 2023 at 5pm UK

Waldstadion

FC 08 Homburg
3 - 0
SV Darmstadt 98

Mendler (10'), Heilig (49'), Harres (81')
Lippert (39'), Kretzschmar (88'), Dombrowka (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Zimmermann (30'), Holland (49'), Riedel (79')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC 08 Homburg and SV Darmstadt 98.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC 08 Homburg

Last Game: FC 08 Homburg 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 16 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Monday, August 7 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for FC 08 Homburg had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-3 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a FC 08 Homburg win it was 2-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
FC 08 Homburg	Draw	SV Darmstadt 98
11.23% ( 5.02)	16.28% ( 2.94)	72.5% ( -7.96)

Both teams to score 53.61% (

12.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.36% (

3.79)

34.64% (

-3.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.42% (

4.14)

56.59% (

-4.14)

FC 08 Homburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

14.12)

41.53% (

-14.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.97% (

10.24)

78.03% (

-10.25)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.69% (

-0.84)

8.32% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.01% (

-2.12)

28.99% (

2.12)

Score Analysis

FC 08 Homburg 11.23%

SV Darmstadt 98 72.5%

Draw 16.28%

FC 08 Homburg	Draw	SV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 3.32% ( 1.46) 1-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.62) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.74) 3-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.61) Other @ 1.37% Total : 11.23%	1-1 @ 7.55% ( 1.22) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 1.72) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.71) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.6) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.28%	0-2 @ 10.68% ( -3.31) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( 1.18) 0-3 @ 8.86% ( -3.24) 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -2.2) 1-3 @ 7.78% ( 0.69) 0-4 @ 5.51% ( -2.34) 1-4 @ 4.84% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 1.34) 0-5 @ 2.74% ( -1.33) 1-5 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.78) 0-6 @ 1.14% ( -0.62) 2-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.36) 1-6 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 72.5%