DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Waldstadion
SV Darmstadt

FC 08 Homburg
3 - 0
SV Darmstadt 98

Mendler (10'), Heilig (49'), Harres (81')
Lippert (39'), Kretzschmar (88'), Dombrowka (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zimmermann (30'), Holland (49'), Riedel (79')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FC 08 Homburg and SV Darmstadt 98.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC 08 Homburg

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Last Game: FC 08 Homburg 1-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 16 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
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SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98
Monday, August 7 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 72.5%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for FC 08 Homburg had a probability of 11.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-3 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for a FC 08 Homburg win it was 2-1 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
FC 08 HomburgDrawSV Darmstadt 98
11.23% (5.0181 5.02)16.28% (2.935 2.94)72.5% (-7.955 -7.96)
Both teams to score 53.61% (12.579 12.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.36% (3.795 3.79)34.64% (-3.797 -3.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.42% (4.138 4.14)56.59% (-4.14 -4.14)
FC 08 Homburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (14.124 14.12)41.53% (-14.125 -14.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.97% (10.244 10.24)78.03% (-10.246 -10.25)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.69% (-0.836 -0.84)8.32% (0.834 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.01% (-2.119 -2.12)28.99% (2.118 2.12)
Score Analysis
    FC 08 Homburg 11.23%
    SV Darmstadt 98 72.5%
    Draw 16.28%
FC 08 HomburgDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 3.32% (1.463 1.46)
1-0 @ 3.04% (0.595 0.6)
2-0 @ 1.33% (0.618 0.62)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.739 0.74)
3-1 @ 0.97% (0.609 0.61)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 11.23%
1-1 @ 7.55% (1.221 1.22)
2-2 @ 4.12% (1.721 1.72)
0-0 @ 3.45% (-0.711 -0.71)
3-3 @ 1% (0.595 0.6)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.28%
0-2 @ 10.68% (-3.31 -3.31)
1-2 @ 9.39% (1.184 1.18)
0-3 @ 8.86% (-3.235 -3.24)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-2.201 -2.2)
1-3 @ 7.78% (0.693 0.69)
0-4 @ 5.51% (-2.335 -2.34)
1-4 @ 4.84% (0.244 0.24)
2-3 @ 3.42% (1.342 1.34)
0-5 @ 2.74% (-1.327 -1.33)
1-5 @ 2.41% (0.023 0.02)
2-4 @ 2.13% (0.78 0.78)
0-6 @ 1.14% (-0.622 -0.62)
2-5 @ 1.06% (0.359 0.36)
1-6 @ 1% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 72.5%

How you voted: FC 08 Homburg vs SV Darmstadt 98

FC 08 Homburg
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
SV Darmstadt 98
100%
7