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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 54.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Swindon Town had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Swindon Town win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 54.52% | 23.66% | 21.82% |
| Both teams to score 52.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% | 48.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.58% | 70.41% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.41% | 17.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.84% | 48.16% |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.48% | 36.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.69% | 73.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Swindon Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% 2-1 @ 9.77% 2-0 @ 9.7% 3-1 @ 5.66% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 2.46% 4-0 @ 2.44% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.61% Total : 54.51% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 6.43% 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 5.66% 0-2 @ 3.26% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.82% |