Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 3
Feb 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium (Derry (Londonderry))

Derry
1 - 2
Waterford

Hoban (64' pen.)
Ferguson (18'), Maher (67'), Hoban (68'), Connolly (73'), O'Reilly (74'), Doherty (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
White (9'), Radkowski (39')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Waterford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 1-0 Bohemians
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Waterford United

All competitions
Last Game: Waterford 0-1 Shelbourne
Friday, February 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Derry CityDrawWaterford United
61.1% (0.014999999999993 0.01)23.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)54.57% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.08%75.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)17.51% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01)48.02% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)47.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.35% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)82.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 61.09%
    Waterford United 15.73%
    Draw 23.17%
Derry CityDrawWaterford United
1-0 @ 14.4%
2-0 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 7.29% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.05%
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 10.81%
0-0 @ 8.27%
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 15.73%

Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Waterford
0-1
Derry

McDonald (24'), Glenfield (40'), Horton (68'), Leahy (83')
Doherty (60')
McMullan (51'), Duffy (88')
Jun 3, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 19
Derry
3-0
Waterford
Duffy (11'), Connolly (21'), Hoban (30')
O'Reilly (38'), Diallo (84')

Power (20'), O'Keeffe (23'), McDonald (39'), Skwierczynski (90')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Waterford
0-2
Derry

McCourt (37'), Duffy (81'), Salisbury (90+1')
Patching (38' pen.), Hoban (74')
Hoban (56'), Radkowski (82')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Derry
3-0
Waterford
Hoban (41', 45+5', 52' pen.)

Macadam (43')
Leahy (51')
Nov 2, 2021 6.15pm
Gameweek 30
Waterford
2-2
Derry
Quitirna (3'), Halford (39')
Power (7'), Martin (23'), Evans (71'), Stafford (90+2')
Lafferty (30'), McJannett (90+3')
Toal (56')
rhs 2.0


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