Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.