Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Waterford United had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Waterford United win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.