
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 1
Feb 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park

Shelbourne3 - 1Derry
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Derry City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derry 0-1 Shelbourne
Friday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 0-1 Shelbourne
Friday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Friday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 46.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.24%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 1-0 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
26.06% (![]() | 27.69% (![]() | 46.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.07% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.05% (![]() | 59.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.8% (![]() | 80.2% (![]() |
Shelbourne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.86% (![]() | 39.14% (![]() |