Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.