Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.