League of Ireland Premier
Gameweek
34
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-
Koen Oostenbrink
27'
-
Aodh Dervin
51'
-
Andy Boyle
82'
-
Norman Garbett
90'+5'
-
Colm Whelan
16'
-
Colm Whelan
16'
-
Mark Connolly
57'
-
William Patching
77'
-
Duncan Idehen
90'+1'
Dundalk vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 16.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
Result
Dundalk
16.89%
▲
(+0.74)
Draw
23.77%
▲
(+0.32)
Derry City
59.33%
▼
(-1.05)
Both Teams to Score:
44.15%
▲
(+0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.98%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
55.02%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 3.5
23.71%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
76.29%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
10.55%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
89.45%
▲
(+0.04)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5
54.05%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 0.5
45.95%
▼
(-0.93)
Over 1.5
18.32%
▲
(+0.72)
Under 1.5
81.68%
▼
(-0.72)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5
81.68%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 0.5
18.31%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 1.5
50.6%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 1.5
49.4%
▲
(+0.70)
Score analysis
Dundalk
16.89%
Draw
23.76%
Derry City
59.32%
Dundalk
1-0
@
6.54%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.89%
2-1 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.18)
2-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.89%
Draw
1-1
@
11.1%
▲
(+0.17)
0-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.76%
0-0 @ 8.41% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.76%
Derry City
0-1
@
14.28%
▼
(-0.16)
0-2 @ 12.12% ▼ (-0.30)
1-2 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 59.32%
0-2 @ 12.12% ▼ (-0.30)
1-2 @ 9.43% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 6.86% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.15)
1-4 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 59.32%