Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.