J1 League | Gameweek 28
Sep 3, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Yamaha Stadium

Jubilo Iwata
2 - 2
Reysol

Yoshinaga (73'), Gonzalez (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Douglas (23'), Muto (45+2')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Jubilo Iwata and Kashiwa Reysol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jubilo Iwata

Last Six:
    Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Jubilo Iwata
    Friday, August 19 at 11.30am in J1 League

    Kashiwa Reysol

    Last Six:
    Last Game: Reysol 3-6 FC Tokyo
    Saturday, August 27 at 11am in J1 League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 48.58%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 25.46%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 1-0 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

    Result
    Jubilo IwataDrawKashiwa Reysol
    25.46% (-0.038 -0.04)25.96% (-0.868 -0.87)48.58% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
    Both teams to score 49.4% (2.424 2.42)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    45.89% (3.168 3.17)54.11% (-3.172 -3.17)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    24.47% (2.585 2.59)75.53% (-2.59 -2.59)
    Jubilo Iwata Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    63.57% (1.712 1.71)36.43% (-1.714 -1.71)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    26.78% (1.69 1.69)73.22% (-1.694 -1.69)
    Kashiwa Reysol Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.71% (1.768 1.77)22.29% (-1.773 -1.77)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    44.25% (2.587 2.59)55.75% (-2.592 -2.59)
    Score Analysis
        Jubilo Iwata 25.46%
        Kashiwa Reysol 48.58%
        Draw 25.95%
    Jubilo IwataDrawKashiwa Reysol
    1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.647 -0.65)
    2-1 @ 6.21% (0.141 0.14)
    2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.123 -0.12)
    3-1 @ 2.09% (0.141 0.14)
    3-2 @ 1.57% (0.18 0.18)
    3-0 @ 1.39% (0.024 0.02)
    Other @ 1.85%
    Total : 25.46%
    		1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.3 -0.3)
    0-0 @ 8.12% (-1.058 -1.06)
    2-2 @ 4.66% (0.339 0.34)
    Other @ 0.86%
    Total : 25.95%
    		0-1 @ 12.18% (-0.89 -0.89)
    1-2 @ 9.24% (0.262 0.26)
    0-2 @ 9.15% (-0.164 -0.16)
    1-3 @ 4.62% (0.36 0.36)
    0-3 @ 4.58% (0.155 0.16)
    2-3 @ 2.33% (0.279 0.28)
    1-4 @ 1.73% (0.216 0.22)
    0-4 @ 1.72% (0.142 0.14)
    Other @ 3.03%
    Total : 48.58%

    Head to Head
    Apr 2, 2022 7am
    Reysol
    2-0
    Jubilo Iwata
    Savio (41'), Toshima (52')
    Moreira (8'), Toshima (40')

    Sugimoto (45+2')
    rhs 2.0


    Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
    Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!