J1 League Gameweek 26
Aug 19, 2022 11.30am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mateus 19' goal
  • yellowcard Makito Ito 32'
  • yellowcard Norimichi Yamamoto 44'

Nagoya Grampus vs Jubilo Iwata - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions
Last game
Aug 14, 2022 11.00am
Sagan Tosu 0 - 0 Nagoya Grampus

Jubilo Iwata

All competitions
Last game
Aug 13, 2022 10.30am
Jubilo Iwata 0 - 6 Urawa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 50.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Jubilo Iwata win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result

Nagoya Grampus 50.48% (+0.08)
Draw 27.86% (-0.07)
Jubilo Iwata 21.66% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.73% (+0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.61% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 63.39% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 17.25% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 82.75% (-0.15)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 74.53% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 25.47% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 39.69% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 60.31% (-0.17)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5 54.65% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 45.36% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 18.79% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 81.21% (-0.09)

Score analysis

Nagoya Grampus 50.47%
Draw 27.85%
Jubilo Iwata 21.66%
Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 15.79% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 10.8%
2-1 @ 8.54% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.93% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.89% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.68% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 50.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.55% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 3.38% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 27.85%
Jubilo Iwata
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 21.66%

Head to Head

J1 League Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2022 11.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kenyu Sugimoto 65' yellowcard
  • Yuki Otsu 84' goal
  • Yuki Otsu 85' goal
  • goal Mateus 43'