Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Panathinaikos
0 - 1
Ajax

(1-1 on aggregate)

Ingi Ingason (45+2'), Mancini (59'), Ioannidis (80'), Arao (84'), Duricic (84')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Berghuis (28')
Sutalo (75')

Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Panathinaikos and Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

Trabzonspor

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Trabzonspor 1-0 Ruzomberok
Thursday, August 1 at 6.30pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Rapid Vienna

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Rapid Vienna 1-0 Sturm Graz
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Panathinaikos	Draw	Ajax
42.22% ( -8.99)	23.31% ( 0.1)	34.47% ( 8.9)

Both teams to score 63.59% (

5.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.09% (

4.62)

37.91% (

-4.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.83% (

4.77)

60.16% (

-4.77)

Panathinaikos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.6% (

-1.71)

18.4% (

1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.45% (

-2.98)

49.55% (

2.98)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

8.04)

22.06% (

-8.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

10.84)

55.41% (

-10.84)

Score Analysis

Panathinaikos 42.22%

Ajax 34.47%

Draw 23.31%

Panathinaikos	Draw	Ajax
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.88) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -2.12) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( -2.24) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.81) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( -1.53) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.48) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.76) Other @ 3.67% Total : 42.22%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.84) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.97) 3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.5) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.31%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( 1.37) 0-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1.02) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 1.36) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 1.03) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.89) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.72) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.57) Other @ 3.46% Total : 34.47%