DFB-Pokal | Semi-Finals

Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

SchucoArena

Arminia Bielefeld
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Worl (20'), Grosser (45+3')
Grodowski (63'), Schreck (64'), Russo (72')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Tah (17')
Mukiele (41'), Hincapie (51'), Boniface (60'), Tella (87'), Grimaldo (90+1')

Reaction

Arminia Bielefeld celebrate Maximilian Grosser's goal on April 1, 2025

Third-tier outfit stun Bundesliga champions Bayer Leverkusen to reach historic first-ever DFB-Pokal final

Third-tier Arminia Bielefeld stun holders Bayer Leverkusen, winning 2-1 in the DFB-Pokal to reach the final of the competition for the first time.

Apr 1, 21:36

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Arminia Bielefeld and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 2-1 Werder Bremen
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, March 28 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
35.36% ( 2.07)	24.53% ( -0.11)	40.1% ( -1.96)

Both teams to score 59.27% (

0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.37% (

0.96)

43.62% (

-0.96)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.98% (

0.93)

66.02% (

-0.94)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.77% (

1.64)

24.23% (

-1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42% (

2.28)

58.57% (

-2.28)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.23% (

-0.52)

21.77% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.03% (

-0.8)

54.96% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 35.36%

Bayer Leverkusen 40.1%

Draw 24.53%

Arminia Bielefeld	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.36%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.1%