Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 28, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
3 - 1
VfL Bochum

Garcia (20'), Boniface (60'), Adli (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Passlack (26')
Boadu (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-4 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-3 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 16 at 3.20pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 71.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 12.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	VfL Bochum
71.47% ( 0.02)	16.05% ( -0.01)	12.47% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.09% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.14% (

0.02)

29.86% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.98% (

0.03)

51.03% (

-0.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.63% (

0.01)

7.37% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.41% (

0.03)

26.59% (

-0.03)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.79% (

36.21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27% (

73% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 71.47%

VfL Bochum 12.47%

Draw 16.05%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.22% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.14% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.72% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 4.1% Total : 71.47%	1-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 16.05%	1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 12.47%