Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 71.47%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 3-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.