Chinese Super League | Gameweek 30

Dec 10, 2022 at 11am UK

Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre

Shenzhen
0 - 2
Changchun

FT(HT: 0-2)

Long (3', 11')

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Shenzhen and Changchun Yatai.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shenzhen

All competitions

Last Game: Shenzhen 1-2 Wuhan
Wednesday, November 30 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Changchun Yatai

All competitions

Last Game: Wuhan 1-1 Changchun
Sunday, December 4 at 11.30am in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 56.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 2-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Changchun Yatai
21.46% ( 0.25)	22.49% ( 0)	56.04% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.35% (

0.3)

43.65% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.96% (

0.29)

66.04% (

-0.29)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.73% (

0.4)

34.26% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04% (

0.43)

70.96% (

-0.43)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.59% (

0.02)

15.41% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.77% (

0.03)

44.23% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 21.46%

Changchun Yatai 56.04%

Draw 22.49%

Shenzhen	Draw	Changchun Yatai
2-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.12% Total : 21.46%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.04%