Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
May 24, 2025 at 2pm UK
Finnvedsvallen

Varnamo
1 - 1
Oster

Zeljkovic (8')
Johansson (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bergquist (90')
Christensen (3'), Seger (50'), Sanyang (54'), Ask (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Oster, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varnamo

All competitions
Last Game: Hacken 2-0 Varnamo
Sunday, May 18 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Oster

All competitions
Last Game: Oster 1-1 GAIS
Sunday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Oster had a probability of 24.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Oster win was 0-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VarnamoDrawOster
52.17% (0.308 0.31)23.74% (-0.105 -0.11)24.1% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.89% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.79% (0.265 0.27)46.21% (-0.262 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.49% (0.249 0.25)68.51% (-0.246 -0.25)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.3% (0.217 0.22)17.7% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64% (0.37 0.37)48.36% (-0.368 -0.37)
Oster Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)33.31% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)69.92% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 52.16%
    Oster 24.1%
    Draw 23.73%
VarnamoDrawOster
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.61% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.1% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.025 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.43% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.21% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.16%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.1%