Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Oster had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Oster win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.