Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.69%) and 0-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 2-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result
SSV Ulm	Draw	Hamburger SV
17.2% ( 0.08)	18.96% ( 0.02)	63.84% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 60.49% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.29% (

0.04)

33.7% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.47% (

0.04)

55.53% (

-0.05)

SSV Ulm Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25% (

0.11)

32.74% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.7% (

0.13)

69.3% (

-0.13)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.95% (

-0.02)

10.05% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.86% (

-0.03)

33.14% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

SSV Ulm 17.2%

Hamburger SV 63.84%

Draw 18.96%

SSV Ulm	Draw	Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 17.2%	1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 18.96%	1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.96% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 4.39% Total : 63.84%