Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.25%) and 1-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.