Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.