Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 54.25%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 23.89% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.