SV Darmstadt
2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor

Darmstadt
1 - 1
Ulm

Hornby (16')
Hornby (30'), Vukotic (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Keller (18')
Chessa (62'), Roesch (70'), Brandt (80')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and SSV Ulm.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darmstadt 5-1 FC Koln
Friday, October 18 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Ulm 0-1 Karlsruher
Sunday, October 20 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 52.35%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawSSV Ulm
52.35% (0.32 0.32)22.2% (0.057000000000002 0.06)25.44% (-0.378 -0.38)
Both teams to score 61.68% (-0.604 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.09% (-0.624 -0.62)37.91% (0.621 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (-0.668 -0.67)60.16% (0.666 0.67)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (-0.116 -0.12)14.63% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.24% (-0.22 -0.22)42.75% (0.216 0.22)
SSV Ulm Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.611 -0.61)27.75% (0.609 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-0.786 -0.79)63.32% (0.784 0.78)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 52.35%
    SSV Ulm 25.44%
    Draw 22.2%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawSSV Ulm
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 52.35%
1-1 @ 10% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.06% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 5.21% (0.066 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 25.44%