2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Donaustadion
Karlsruher

Ulm
0 - 1
Karlsruher


Chessa (88'), Strompf (90+1'), Maier (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Franke (90+4')
Rapp (28'), Zivzivadze (83'), Franke (90+1')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between SSV Ulm and Karlsruher SC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 2-0 Ulm
Saturday, October 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Karlsruher 3-3 Darmstadt
Friday, October 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 53.96%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 23.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.

Result
SSV UlmDrawKarlsruher SC
23.65% (-0.273 -0.27)22.38% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08)53.96% (0.36 0.36)
Both teams to score 58.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.41% (0.084000000000003 0.08)40.6% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.03% (0.086999999999996 0.09)62.98% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
SSV Ulm Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.181 -0.18)30.62% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (-0.217 -0.22)66.86% (0.22200000000001 0.22)
Karlsruher SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (0.14999999999999 0.15)15.04% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.46% (0.282 0.28)43.54% (-0.278 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    SSV Ulm 23.65%
    Karlsruher SC 53.97%
    Draw 22.38%
SSV UlmDrawKarlsruher SC
2-1 @ 6.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.45% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 23.65%
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.38%
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.72% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.18% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 5.22% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.93% (0.035 0.03)
0-4 @ 2.47% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
0-5 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 53.97%