Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 49.73%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.

Result
Nuremberg	Draw	SC Paderborn
27.26% ( 0.87)	23.01% ( 0.4)	49.73% ( -1.27)

Both teams to score 60.54% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.81% (

-1.16)

40.18% (

1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.44% (

-1.21)

62.55% (

1.2)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

0.02)

27.62% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

0.03)

63.16% (

-0.03)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.64% (

-0.88)

16.36% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.02% (

-1.61)

45.98% (

1.6)

Score Analysis

Nuremberg 27.26%

SC Paderborn 49.73%

Draw 23.01%

Nuremberg	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.26%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.01%	1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.11) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.46% Total : 49.73%