Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.