Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.

Result
Nuremberg	Draw	Greuther Furth
45.46% ( 0.06)	23.89% ( 0.04)	30.64% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 59.85% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.86% (

-0.24)

42.13% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.46% (

-0.24)

64.54% (

0.23)

Nuremberg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.24% (

-0.07)

18.76% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.85% (

-0.12)

50.15% (

0.11)

Greuther Furth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.67% (

-0.18)

26.32% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.54% (

-0.24)

61.46% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Nuremberg 45.46%

Greuther Furth 30.64%

Draw 23.88%

Nuremberg	Draw	Greuther Furth
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.46%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.88%	1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.64%