Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 54.85%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.