Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 23.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.