Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.51%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.