Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 56.91%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 21.71% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.