Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.