Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.