Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.