Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 38.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.67%) and 0-2 (4.83%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.