Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.