Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Karlsruher SC would win this match.