Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.