Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.